April 2019 is just a few months away and the Social Democrats have a strong lead in the polls, with the Conservatives coming second. The Center Party is lagging because both the Prime Minister, and his other Center Party Ministers can be described, at best, as weak and disorganized.
The most surprising thing about the present polls is that the Conservatives have been holding the second position given that they are largely responsible for big and ugly cuts in the education budget while subsidies and tax cuts to a few big companies have remained untouched!
The Healthcare Reform (SOTE) and the creation of the new 19 Counties is being forced ahead in normal fashion with thousands of pages being generated by an understaffed civil service. It resembles Brexit in as much nobody really knows what is or will be the final form. There are 3 reasons for this situation:
- It has been the case that many parts of the new legislation have been thrown out the Constitutional Council as unconstitutional, and a new corrected drafts must be prepared.
- Alternatively, the Conservative or Center Party have both wanted some extra benefits from the reforms – the Center Party has wanted to have the New Counties and the Conservatives have wanted to privatize large parts of the public healthcare… Their pork barrel solutions have not created clarity or enhanced the reputations of both parties.
- It appears that the EU has started to interfere in how member states chose to arrange their public healthcare, and that is not a good development given the fact that many respected bodies claim the Finland has an excellent public health service. We have already seen how private healthcare companies are using light taxation Luxembourg to make huge profits in Finland. The same tax avoidance tactics are being used by Finnish electricity transmission companies in both Holland and Luxembourg.
The Green Party has also started to recover popularity after it former leader decided to resign for personal reasons leaving the party somewhat adrift for a few weeks.
At least 2 parties will see much reduced voter support in the coming elections – the True Finns and the Future Blues will slowly pass off the map because their policies are as dynamic and as changeable as wind vanes.